ABOUT US  |  CONTACT US  |  RSS  |  ARCHIVE  |  2023-12-07  |  UPDATED: 1402/09/13 - 17:50:1 FA | AR | PS | EN
Factbox: Israeli genocidal war on Gaza What has happened so far?             Israeli attacks on Gaza kill 700 Palestinians in 24 hours            Iran FM: US supportive policies encourage Zionist regime to continue massacre of civilians in Gaza             Everything in Gaza is at breaking point: ICRC             US sends deadly bunker buster bombs to Israel for Gaza war            Israel pulls back negotiating team from Qatar, as truce talks hit dead end             Israeli attack kills over 100 Palestinians in Gaza refugee camp             Erdogan says Netanyahu, the butcher of Gaza, must be tried in ICC            Israel kills 2 IRGC military advisors in strike on Syria             Taliban De-Persianizing Afghanistan Culture: Roots and Ramifications             Afghanistan: Armed attack in Shia-populated region of Herat 5 killed             Israelis Stealing Body Organs of Palestinians Killed in War: European Monitor            Resistance vows to give Israel harsher response if Gaza war resumes: Iran             This is a war on children, UNICEF warns after Israel resumes bombing Gaza             Political figures criticize UN report for alleged whitewashing of Taliban, demand accountability            


DATE PUBLISHED: 1400/10/30 - 02:38:5
VISIT: 15407
SHARE WITH YOUR FRIENDS

Is an all-out Russia-Ukraine war about to break out?

The world is bracing for a potential armed showdown over Ukraine, which all sides say they dont want to happen

Russia and its CSTO ally Belarus have announced joint military exercises in February, which Western pundits claim are part of preparations for an invasion of Ukraine. Meanwhile, Kiev has been receiving new weapons from the UK, this week, with the shipments touted as boosting its ‘self-defense.

At the same time, EU members are debating what exactly would trigger anti-Russian sanctions that they have pledged to impose in response to an attack. Moscow continues to insist it has no intention to use force against Kiev.

1- Didnt US-Russia talks defuse things?

Several rounds of diplomatic talks between Russia and the US and NATO failed, last week, to produce a breakthrough. The Western side rejected Moscows demand to stop the military blocs expansion in Europe and, in particular, to disavow its 2008 pledge to eventually admit Ukraine and Georgia.
NATO said its open-door policy is essential to its mission. Moscow sees it as a hostile force and its enlargement as compromising Russias national security. As a result, the verbal clash over Moscows plans vis-a-vis Ukraine is as intense as when it started in November.

2- What is Russia doing regarding Ukraine?

Moscow stands accused by the West of amassing troops and military equipment in what is seen as preparation for a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The White House said on Tuesday a Russian attack may happen "at any moment".

Washington and Kiev also attributed to Russia last weeks cyberattacks, which defaced several Ukrainian government websites. Victoria Nuland, best known as Washingtons ‘midwife for the 2014 Maidan in Ukraine, called such actions a "tried and true part of the Russian playbook." The undersecretary of state said the US had 18 scenarios prepared on how to react to whatever Moscow does.
This week, there were media reports that Russia pulled almost 50 diplomatic staff and family members from its missions in Ukraine in January. Moscow said the story was fed to The New York Times by a source that was not telling the truth, and the newspaper never even asked Russian officials for comment. Kiev itself said it was not aware of any evacuation.

3- What is Ukraine doing?

Kiev has ramped up military exercises and is trying to enhance its mobilization capacity. Last month, the countrys defense ministry risked public discontent by ordering women of certain professions and ages to register for potential conscription. Ukraine also started training civilians for its so-called ‘Territorial Defense Forces under a law that came into force on January 1.
There are claims that Ukraine is preparing its own troops for a possible escalation. This week, a spokesman for the self-proclaimed Donetsk Peoples Republic claimed that some 60 armed men without insignias had captured several buildings in a village on the line separating government and rebel forces, in the East. The Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Lugansk rejected the 2014 overthrow of the government in Kiev and declared their independence. Kiev and its Western allies consider them Russian proxies, but Moscow has not recognised them as states.

Regardless of what actually happens in eastern Ukraine, the US seems to have laid the ground to explain any flare-up of violence there by blaming Russia. Last week, the White House claimed it had intelligence that Moscow was planning to stage a false flag attack to justify an invasion.
Despite military preparations, Kiev puts much of its hopes on Western help in the event of an open conflict with Russia, should it happen. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is currently visiting Kiev to meet top Ukrainian officials and American diplomats stationed in the country, before moving on to Berlin and Geneva.

4- Is NATO helping Kiev?

While the US-led bloc has made it clear that it wont fight Russia directly over Ukraine, member states have prepared tough economic sanctions, the threat of which is meant to deter Moscow.

The effort was somewhat undermined by the apparent reluctance of some European nations to act with full determination. The "nuclear option" to cut Russia from the international banking transfer system Swift was reportedly dropped as it would likely hurt the West itself too much.
There is also said to be disagreement within the EU on whether Russian actions that dont constitute military aggression should trigger the sanctions. Some countries dont want further escalation over the likes of cyberattacks, for example, the Financial Times reported.
Britain, meanwhile, now outside the EU, has taken the lead in shipping more weapons to Ukraine, flying planes full of anti-tank missiles and other hardware to bolster Ukrainian troops. The lethal aid was welcomed by Kiev, but highlighted divisions within NATO.
British military cargo planes flew indirectly through Denmark and Poland, reportedly due to Germanys opposition to arming Ukraine. Under former chancellor Angela Merkel, Berlin reportedly blocked US and Lithuania from shipping weapons that Kiev had purchased through NATO procurement channels.

The US reportedly made unilateral secret shipments to Ukraine earlier in January, enacting a decision to provide an additional $200 million in military aid that was quietly taken in late December.

5- So is war imminent?

This depends on who you ask. There is no shortage of people - such as former US ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul - who claim that the very existence of a supposedly democratic Ukraine next door to Russia threatens the government in Moscow and therefore some kind of aggression is likely to happen. Although Ukraine can hardly be called a "democracy" when its two main parliamentary opposition leaders are currently being prosecuted with "treason" charges, which they claim are politically motivated. Viktor Medevchuk is under house arrest and Petro Poroshenko cant leave the country.

But some military experts doubt that the Russian military assets in the western part of the country are nearly enough for an actual war with Ukraine, considering the size of Kievs own armed forces.
Ukraine has a significant standing army, has pushed some structural reforms as part of its aspiration to join NATO, and has been conducting regular exercises and training with Western troops and military advisors. Kiev has also invested heavily in land warfare capabilities over the past several years. It has produced, purchased, or received as aid a significant number of anti-tank weapons and has significantly boosted its drone capability, including by buying Turkish strike drones.
There is little doubt that Russia could overwhelm Ukraine in an all-out conflict, thanks to its virtually unchallenged air and naval superiority, but the question remains how a war would benefit Russian national security.

 

LINK: https://www.ansarpress.com/english/26287


TAGS:






*
*

*



SEE ALSO

How the Zionist entity sought to make colonial myth of terra nullius a reality


Factbox: Israeli genocidal war on Gaza What has happened so far?


Taliban De-Persianizing Afghanistan Culture: Roots and Ramifications


Israelis Stealing Body Organs of Palestinians Killed in War: European Monitor


From hospitals to cemeteries, Israel bombing both living and dead in Gaza


Elon Musk, caving in to Zionist lobby, warns to criminalize pro-Palestine content


Ahed Tamimi, Palestinian anti-occupation lioness, continues to haunt Israeli regime


Why is Netanyahu invoking Amalek rhetoric to justify genocide of Palestinians


War profiteering: US arms industry giants rejoice as Israel rains bombs on Gaza


Israels genocide in Gaza Strip invites comparisons with Hiroshima and Bosnia





VIEWED
MOST DISCUSSED




POLL

Modi, Merkel Discuss Afghanistan, Radicalisation And Terrorism

SEE RESULT


LAST NEWS

How the Zionist entity sought to make colonial myth of terra nullius a reality

Factbox: Israeli genocidal war on Gaza What has happened so far?

Israeli attacks on Gaza kill 700 Palestinians in 24 hours

Iran FM: US supportive policies encourage Zionist regime to continue massacre of civilians in Gaza

Everything in Gaza is at breaking point: ICRC

US sends deadly bunker buster bombs to Israel for Gaza war

Israel pulls back negotiating team from Qatar, as truce talks hit dead end

Israeli attack kills over 100 Palestinians in Gaza refugee camp

Erdogan says Netanyahu, the butcher of Gaza, must be tried in ICC

Israel kills 2 IRGC military advisors in strike on Syria

Taliban De-Persianizing Afghanistan Culture: Roots and Ramifications

Afghanistan: Armed attack in Shia-populated region of Herat 5 killed

Israelis Stealing Body Organs of Palestinians Killed in War: European Monitor

Resistance vows to give Israel harsher response if Gaza war resumes: Iran

This is a war on children, UNICEF warns after Israel resumes bombing Gaza

Political figures criticize UN report for alleged whitewashing of Taliban, demand accountability

Huge explosion rocks Kabul

Hamas says made deal to extend Gaza truce by 2 days

Lack of Access to Information Increased By 32 Percent

Pentagon chief visits Ukraine to reassure Kiev amid concerns over US support

UN rights chief calls for end to Israeli killing of Gazas people at schools, shelters

From hospitals to cemeteries, Israel bombing both living and dead in Gaza

Weapons allegedly found in Gazas al-Shifa Hospital rearranged by Israeli army, CNN suggests

Israel committing genocide against Gazas health system: Palestinian minister

Iran does not seek spread of Israels war on Gaza, but US approach makes it possible

Pro-Palestine demonstrations continue in Britain and France

Israeli regime should stand trial at ICC: Turkish president

Elon Musk, caving in to Zionist lobby, warns to criminalize pro-Palestine content

Saudi Arabia detains worshipers for supporting Gaza, praying for Palestine at holy sites: Report

Israel killed 12,000 Palestinians, including 5,000 children, since October 7

UN: Food-water practically non-existent in Gaza

Robust Measures Keep US Aid From Benefiting Taliban: Miller

Pakistan Claims Attacks in Pakistan Linked to Afghans

UNHCR: Forced return of Afghans from Pakistan deepens humanitarian crisis

Vatican: Pope to meet Palestinians, families of captives

Elon Musk under fire for supporting Palestine

Congresswoman Omar unveils resolution to block US arms sale to Israel

Bahrain crown prince condemns Hamas al-Aqsa Storm Operation

AOHR UK: Parliaments vote to continue the genocidal war by Israel confirms its participation in this crime

Israel launches military operation against Gazas Shifa Hospital


MEDICAL NEWS


ANSAR PRESS  |  ABOUT US  |  CONTACT US  |  MOBILE VERSION  |  LINKS  |  DESIGN: Negah Network Co.
All right reserved. Use this website by mentioning the source (link) is allowed. Ԑ یی