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DATE PUBLISHED: 2015/8/29 - 00:44:40
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Analysis of Turkish military action against ISIS
Analysis of Turkish military action against ISIS

Despite the Turkish government formally introduce ISIS responsible for terrorist attacks, but has not any seriously chastisement against them and what it has done is for suppression of Kurdish opposition forces in Turkey, Iraq and Syria, especially after recent Kurds onrush in those areas in Syria which has occupied by ISIS.

Turkey in crisis of political instability and absence of the new government, despite all claims about not being cooperated with ISIS and trying to remove the ambiguity, get in trouble of cooperating closely with ISIS, due to many evidences, which seems correct.

Suruc bombing near the Syrian border is the second great terroristic attack that shows Syrian civil war spread over the borders of Turkey and pushes Turkish government toward military action against ISIS. It seems that the main reason of Turkish government's apparent change of approach in the field of ISIS is due to several factors: 

1.      Erdogan and "Justice & Development Party" have found that one of the reasons for decreasing their votes in parliamentary elections is their foreign policy, especially in Syria.

2.      Turkish oppositions constantly emphasize on the government's support of terrorist groups, such as ISIS.  For example, this has caused in recent days that several protests organized against government policies in support of ISIS.

3.      Kurds, due to won 13 percent of votes and presence in parliament, have more power than in the past and can be participating in next political decisions in turkey. Therefore, the government cannot use terrorist groups such as ISIS and Al-Nusra Front in the same way like the past.

4.      Turkish people are more aware now about Takfiri groups and their goals than in the past. This awareness increases public resentment to ISIS among Turkish people and public opinion in the country.

However, it seems there is some Uncertainty in this Turkish government activity. Because if this attack is a retaliatory action to suppress ISIS supporters in turkey, why targets Kurds, especially PKK members, instead of targeting "Justice & Development Party" members and the president.

In fact, if ISIS wants to take revenge of the Turkish government, then must focus their Suicide attacks on government forces and public places. However, not only government forces and public places was not the aim of such attack, but also oppositions and those who ask the government response against ISIS was the aim.

On the other hand, Turkish military attack was in areas that because of Syrian Kurd Militants conquest ISIS was not apparently there so if the Turkish government wants to suppress ISIS should attack in Ar-raqqah and Aleppo, not in Kobani or Al-Qamishli that Kurds are more powerful there.

This makes serious doubts about the role of the ISIS and the Government of Turkey in this cause explosion and if the Turkish government continues its Lack of transparency and serious determination against Takfiris, this terroristic explosion may result political explosion.

2. Necessity of changing current Egypt government behavior

The Egyptian governments headed by Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and its military in fact choose the worst option to solve this country's political and security problems with the status quo, which does not show a positive outlook. Vice versa, while terrorism is becoming a crisis in Egypt, regime tries to prove that is capable to hold situations in normal with isolating intellectuals and political movements and pushing this country toward Instability by showing its iron fist.

It seems that in the current situation, Egyptian government should try to survive Egypt from sinking in the swamp of terrorism and extreme insecurity and instability by removing restrictions on policy and security with the use of all elites and political movements' potentials.

  Nearly two years have passed since the Abdel Fattah el-Sisi government and the political and security situation in Egypt become worse day by day.  This is the fact that in past months, terrorist acts make a dangerous situation in Egypt, it seems that government with restrictions, and mismanagement Egyptian terrorist groups with violent acts make this situation more complicated.

   On one hand, with increasing terroristic activities and happen more difficulty in the security situation for ISIS in Syria and Libya, and going some of ISIS members to Sinai, it is possible that more areas become under control of ISIS, and so this terrorism will effect on other areas and big cities.

On the other hand, by increasing chaos and current insecurity, the government will suppress by more violent attitude. In this case, Egypt will face a worse dictatorship than Hosni Mubarak period and become more like Israel than Mubarak times.

By tending the Egyptian society towards violence, whether by security forces or by province of Siena (Egypt ISIS) without a doubt, the winner of this situation is Israel regime, looser is Egyptians, continues of this process make a breakdown of the Egyptian society, and draw it off or divert it through a positive role in West Asia and North Africa.

Putting Egypt in Ineffective situation in its region and vice versa facing with the resistance includes Hamas is the result , such as what happened last year as they called Hamas terrorist and it was close to make an attack on them. Therefore, in the same manner it is what happened to destroy the tunnels of Rafah and seal Rafah Border Crossing or participate in the Arab coalition against Yemen. 

If the current situation continues, then it will lead to more security and closed society and take democracy away postpone the election of parliament process so it will make the political movements motivated in solving the problems.

Meanwhile, the state of emergency law in Egypt and a kind of curfew let the government ignoring the rights of citizenship and civil liberties.

A large part of the youth and politicians' frustration of peaceful methods and radicalization push more and more Egyptians to terrorist groups like ISIS and make Egypt tourism sluggish, so a lot of people will become workless and Egypt will lose one of its biggest money maker industries, and by that it will need more and more foreign help. Therefore, this country will face irreparable damage.

LINK: https://www.ansarpress.com/english/4082






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