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What if the Iran nuclear talks fail?
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What if the Iran nuclear talks fail?
2636/02/05-02:36

There is little doubt that any extension of the nuclear talks between Iran and the United States—the latter being accompanied by some other countries in the negotiations—beyond the November 24 deadline will directly mean the failure of the negotiations at least for the time being. But what will be the global implications and how will different factions within Iran and the United States react come November 25 and there’s no deal?

I am an eyewitness to many overt and covert developments that have shaped the course of talks over the past 10 years. As an Iranian journalist and a former source close to the negotiations, I have covered the talks right after they began following the MKO terror network’s highly-controversial allegations against Tehran. Internationally designated as a terrorist organization, the MKO is responsible for the killing of many Iranians – civilians and officials alike. But when it came to Iran’s nuclear file, the deadly cult’s 2003 accusations against Tehran set the stage for a decade-long heated dispute, one of many between one of the world’s oldest civilizations and one of its youngest; Iran versus the United States of America.

The widespread media frenzy and political anxiety in the West over fabricated fears of what might be at stake if Iran gets the bomb were later translated into economic sanctions against the people of Iran. The sanctions, in turn, killed many innocent Iranians, including children, as they blocked the import of vital goods, most notably medicines. While the West never imposed strict restrictions against the Iranian medical sector, they prevented the country from using its petroleum revenues to buy medicines. The Iranian people will never forget what the West did to their cancer patients, nor will they ever forgive them for it.

Over the years, I have interviewed many people with a wide range of nationalistic, religious and political thoughts and inclinations on Iran’s nuclear program. What took me by surprise, however, was the fact that both the ultranationalist man wearing expensive clothes and living in a posh north Tehran house that would remind one of the Louvre, and the modestly-dressed theologian sitting on the sparsely carpeted floor, wanted the country’s nuclear energy program to keep going strong.

Though the ultranationalist wanted Iran to get the bomb as a means of deterrence to strengthen the country’s hand at the international stage, and the religious man was for an advanced civilian nuclear energy program that could demonstrate that Muslims weren’t to go down under the Western sanctions and pressure, ordinary people neither see the bomb as something necessary, nor do they seek to prove anything to anyone. They want to live a normal life while their dignity is safeguarded by a deal that will not deprive their country of its nuclear energy rights.

And what the United States and other western countries are yet to fully grasp is the significance of the word dignity when it comes to dealing with a nation rooted deeply in history. For a fact, Iranians, going through enormous ups and downs in the course of the last several millennia, have learned their lessons very well; they know if they fail to unite once, they’ll have to pay the price forever.

The Iranians did unite in a great fashion when Saddam Hussein’s Iraq attacked their motherland in 1980. People from all walks of life rushed to the frontline and armed poorly compared to the Western-backed, armed-to-the-teeth Iraqi army, they stood up to the invaders and eventually drove them out and determined the fate of a showdown of historical proportions.

Come November 25 and no deal, Iranians can unite once again and pick one of two options. And, people in the know are very aware that they have everything they need to succeed.

But what would the United States do if the talks fail? The architects of anti-Iran sanctions, Israel’s mercenary senators Bob Menendez and Mark Kirk, the former being one of America’s most corrupt congressmen ever as cited in American journals, will, without a doubt, celebrate. They have repeatedly called for no deal and if there was to be a deal, it would have to be one that would dismantle and not stall the Iranian nuclear energy program. As they care more about Israel’s interests than US national interests, they will keep trying to keep America Tel Aviv’s lifelong hostage. And, for a fact, we know from the past six decades that they will succeed.

There are international winners in a no deal game, namely Russia, China and Israel. China will be able to export more of its low-quality products to Iran’s lucrative market, and Russia could keep the Iran tool at its disposal and use it in its endless confrontations with the West at the time of its choosing. Israel and the American neo-cons could also beat on the drums of war and destruction to guarantee their own short and shaky existence for a little bit longer.

But while there will be those who will profit, there are also those who will lose if no deal is struck between Iran and the so-called P5+1. For one, the European Union that’s been struggling in vain for so long to do business with an Iran under sanctions. Thirsty for becoming part and parcel of Iran’s thriving consumer and energy markets, European companies like Renault, Peugeot, Eni, Royal Dutch Shell, Statoil, etc., will be the main losers of a game kick-started by a terrorist group, developed by the United States, and protracted by Israel and its Zionist lobby.

But the real victim will be the international community. The resource-rich Middle East has been the scene of violence and instability for a long time. And if the Iran nuclear talks fail, only God knows what other chain of events will be set in motion in this volatile part of the world.

 

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What if the Iran nuclear talks fail?